Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 5.572256e-06 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011
2025-02-23 4.671519e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013
2025-03-02 3.979984e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000015
2025-03-09 3.457548e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000007 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017
2025-03-16 3.084854e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020
2025-03-23 2.801287e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000016 0.000024
2025-03-30 2.498840e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000027
2025-04-06 2.284208e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000031
2025-04-13 2.065527e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000019 0.000034
2025-04-20 1.917498e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000020 0.000039
2025-04-27 1.812735e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000046
2025-05-04 1.699007e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000024 0.000053
2025-05-11 1.599899e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000027 0.000061
2025-05-18 1.502460e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000029 0.000071
2025-05-25 1.401233e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000031 0.000080
2025-06-01 1.311376e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000032 0.000090
2025-06-08 1.243199e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000015 0.000035 0.000103
2025-06-15 1.187654e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000016 0.000038 0.000121
2025-06-22 1.111166e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000040 0.000133
2025-06-29 1.056215e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000042 0.000151
2025-07-06 9.906662e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000044 0.000165
2025-07-13 9.472517e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000047 0.000188
2025-07-20 9.176629e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000051 0.000222